Video summary
The video analyzes a significant shift in global economics driven by China's massive acquisition of physical gold and its simultaneous reduction of US debt holdings. The narrator argues that this move is part of a historical pattern where dominant economies first protect their industries to become powerful, then transition from manufacturing to financialization once they feel secure. Currently, the United States appears to be entering this second phase again by abandoning fiscal discipline in favor of trading paper assets like stocks and bonds rather than producing goods. In contrast, China is reversing course, hoarding physical gold while shutting down domestic paper trading for individuals, signaling a move away from reliance on debt-based currencies toward tangible reserves as global confidence wavers.
The core argument presented revolves around an "impossible triangle" facing the US government: it cannot simultaneously rebuild its industrial base through tariffs and protectionism, protect local citizens from high inflation caused by those same measures, and maintain the strength of the dollar required for exports. The narrator suggests that to re-industrialize as Alexander Hamilton originally intended, the United States will likely have to sacrifice one of these three goals, with the most probable outcome being a deliberate weakening of the US dollar. This devaluation is seen as an inevitable consequence of trying to force manufacturing back home while dealing with massive existing debt levels and high interest costs that are becoming unsustainable for the current financial system.
Consequently, China's strategy serves both as a hedge against potential future sanctions—inspired by Russia's isolation—and as a bet on physical gold being the only true store of value when trust in fiat currencies collapses. The transcript highlights that central banks worldwide are increasingly viewing gold not just as an investment vehicle for short-term gains, but as essential backing for their own currencies to replace or supplement the US dollar. This shift implies that paper assets such as savings accounts and bonds may face significant headwinds due to inflationary pressures resulting from a weaker dollar, prompting investors to reconsider portfolios in favor of tangible wealth over speculative financial instruments.
Ultimately, the video concludes by urging viewers to recognize these macroeconomic trends without necessarily making drastic changes like selling all stocks immediately or buying gold they cannot physically store and verify. The narrator emphasizes that while he personally feels uneasy about relying on government promises regarding Fort Knox reserves due to historical precedents of asset seizures, each individual must make their own strategic decisions based on the cause-and-effect logic presented. The overarching message is one of caution: as nations pivot back toward manufacturing and away from pure financialization, investors should prepare for a future where physical assets hold more value than paper promises, especially in an era characterized by geopolitical conflict and declining trust in traditional monetary systems.
Read the full video transcript
Something is currently happening
in the world of economics that
will have a huge impact
on the price of gold. Some
argue that if
gold is indeed going to replace the
US dollar and
US debt as the
world's reserve currency, its
current price is too low.
If it is to be used in the way
Alexander Hamilton intended. So
, what we will be reviewing is Alexander
Hamilton’s economic model
on how to build a
strong state, but it puts you in
this
three-part trap that
we will analyze.
And America is now living in this
three-
part trap. Based
on some of the moves that
China is making, you will understand
how we will have to get
into this triangle where
we need all
three things, but we will
only be able to get
two of them.
This will have serious consequences for you
and your
investment portfolio. So, let's pay
close attention. The
biggest buyer of gold on the
planet has just made
its biggest purchase
in 3 years. They did so
while everyone else was panicking and selling
. There is
another point here that I want you to
understand. The
second point relates to understanding
why the United States government is taking
the actions it is
currently taking. Because
once you see this
pattern, you will never look at the
economy the same
way again
. So, let me take you back a
lot to
1791. America was a
fledgling nation that had just been freed
from the shackles of its
British oppressors. I
only had to say that for the sake of
our British viewers
. She used to grow tobacco, you
know, cotton, wheat, and
all those things.
It was essentially a
giant farm that imported
almost everything it needed from
Europe. A man named
Alexander Hamilton. Yes
, the man the
musical is about.
He wrote a document called "Report
on Manufacturers" and his
argument was very simple. A
nation that cannot
manufacture its
own needs is not
truly independent. Therefore, his solution had two parts
. The first part is
imposing taxes or
customs duties on
foreign goods to make them more
expensive. This is what you will hear.
So, this is something
Trump has been pushing for.
You will begin to recognize
that, and Trump has already given a
speech. He did not
use the word "
Hamiltonian" even though
Scott Bisent did
. So, I know that this is
exactly what they are implementing as a
strategy, and he will
explain it in detail.
Essentially,
Trump is trying to impose
tariffs to protect
our industry, and
then you will need incentives if
you want to grow that
industry. So, as you
review what
Hamilton said, know that what
you are seeing now will look
very familiar, and that is
no coincidence.
Besant himself said it was
about
Hamilton, wasn't it
? Part two: Use
that money to support
American factories
so that domestic manufacturing becomes
cheaper. And guess
what? It worked. It
transformed the United States
from a
backward agricultural colony. Yes, I'm
sorry, but it's the truth.
To the most powerful industrial nation
on Earth. This is
exactly what is happening in
China right now. So,
China is implementing this approach.
This, my friend, is one of those
things. If this doesn't encourage you
to learn more
about the Founding Fathers, the
fact that they were
aware of this
strategy so long ago is truly
astonishing.
But China implemented the same
strategy. They are still
using it now
, and the results have been absolutely amazing
. You are protecting yourself
from others so that they
cannot
easily sell within your territory.
Then direct your tax money
to stimulate various industries
to ensure that the cost of those
goods is reduced, so that you can then
export them to the
rest of the world. And then
the industry empties out in those
other places because they
cannot do it as
cheaply as you if they were
playing a fair game,
because this is
effectively seen as cheating from the
perspective of global free trade
. People may consider
this cheating, but it is
exactly what China does
, and we have accused them of cheating for this very
reason.
But you end up
emptying other countries
because they can't do it as
cheaply as you do because you
use tax money
to support it. This allows you to
become a
major industrial power.
And now the industries of
others are dwindling. Even if
they decide to return to it,
as the
United States is now trying to do, you have a much more
difficult road ahead because
you have to rebuild all of this from
scratch. This is the situation the
United States finds itself in.
This is precisely the approach
that made the
United States so powerful when it
entered World War
II, in contrast to what
happened in the 1970s when
we slowly began to make
everything financial. We
slowly began to lose our
industrial base.
correct.
To the most powerful industrial nation
on Earth. It only took a
century
, which is actually a very short
time. But this is where things get really
interesting. And it's
very important for your money
today. There is a pattern that
every dominant economy in
history has followed, and it goes as
follows. I will show it to
you on the screen here.
First step: Protect
your industries. Building factories
. Things are made. You'll become
rich, won't you? It was completed.
Step two: You win.
It becomes the
dominant economy. Now you think
you are so advanced that you
no longer need protection.
So it's turning into
free trade, isn't it? It was completed.
Step three:
Other countries with cheaper labor and
less regulation start
producing goods at a
lower price than you. Your factories close
, and your workers lose their jobs
, but it doesn't seem so
bad at first because
cheap imports
mean cheap television,
cheap clothes, and
cheap electronics.
This is your position on the
timeline now.
So, what
America ended up doing was
turning everything into money.
We realized that we emerged from
World War
II as a dominant power.
We own all the debts.
We were able to force the world
, meaning everyone owed
us
money, and we were not subjected to
bombs and the like.
Glorious geography. So
we found ourselves in a position to
hold the
Bretton Woods conference and say: "
Listen, the
US dollar is going to be the
world's reserve currency." And with the ability to
force everyone, instead
of doing something called
Bangor, I don't remember, he
talked about this before. I don't
remember if it was in
this video or
somewhere else, but Keynes
put forward a point of view, and there was an
economist among the
men who argued,
but he ultimately lost.
In any case, he put forward the idea
of creating a
neutral global reserve currency.
No one owns it. But the
United States
had a
very large trade surplus,
which was a
big part of the discussion. I don't
want to go off-
topic now. Just
know that the
United States had every
reason to want the
dollar to be the currency,
because it would put us in a position to
force
others. Because we were
in a position of strength, we were able to
do that. Now, when
you do that, you run into a problem
where you become the place that
says, "Oh, I can
trade all the hard work of
building factories, taking
risks, and making
investments." I can
attribute that to the rest of the
world. "They buy
everything in dollars
anyway." So
now I can transform my economy
into a financial economy. What that
means is that
instead of having to
build the thing, you can
bet on it, making it a
completely different game. It is a miracle of
capital accumulation
. It is an
exceptional way for those who
understand the fundamentals
to become wealthy. It's
great if you do that,
in addition to having a
strong manufacturing base. But
every empire in
history ends up
doing that instead of
strengthening its manufacturing base,
because it is the easier path.
Because these things
take time to become clear, he
says, it looks
very good at first
. Everything is getting cheaper.
People not only feel
richer, but
they are actually richer
in terms of purchasing power
. Ultimately,
purchasing power is what
matters. So,
welcome to this
moment in
U.S. history.
Good. The fourth step is that
your economy shifts from
manufacturing things to
trading paper,
stocks, bonds,
fake gold, and
mortgage-backed securities. Isn't that so?
The country looks very rich
on paper, but it has lost
the ability to produce.
verification. One thing I want to
talk about is that he mentions
gold, but we really need to
delve deeper into gold.
This is a huge part of this
story. What is happening now with
gold in China should
catch your attention. I'm not going to tell you what you
should
do about it. I'll
simply tell you how I think about it
. It's not
financial advice, etc.
You really need to
think about this
problem yourselves, for
one reason at least: I don't
know if I'm
right. But here's
how I think about this
in my own life
. Okay, so what is
China doing? China is shutting down
the ability to trade
paper gold, and
instead, what it is doing is
hoarding physical gold.
Okay, so why would you want to
do that? First
, with confidence collapsing
worldwide,
you don't know how many
papers are being
traded for a
single ingot of... Now, in
times of high confidence
when things are going
well, it doesn't really matter.
You can
allow people to
speculate on it. And if you don't
know this, then the
following statement is
true. Gold works in
the same way that
reserves work in a
bank. So, if you lend
money to the bank, they can
then lend that
money. In fact,
as of now, they are
not required to have a
minimum
reserve requirement. Most of them still
do that,
but it's very, very small
. Say that I think it's around 9
% on average or something like that
. Let's say 10%.
We will be kind and generous.
But 90% of the money is not
actually in the bank.
Thus, many
people have debt securities
in the form of dollars, you
know, you say in my account, I have a
claim for this number
of dollars or, you
know, numerical numbers in a
spreadsheet. I can
go and get that
number of dollars.
Now, in the normal course of business
when
everyone is reassured,
the amount of money
people withdraw at any given time is very
small. Therefore,
keeping 9% or 10% as
actual capital is not a
big deal. But a bank run occurs
when
everyone comes to withdraw their money
because you have claims that are
10 times greater than the
actual money in the
bank. Gold is the same
when it comes to
paper trading. Therefore,
you can trade an unimaginable number of gold
bars for the actual physical gold bullion you
own.
So China says: "No,
global confidence is
declining. We also want to
get rid of the dollar.
So we need something to
back our currency that is
sound money, which has
been gold for thousands of
years now." Good.
So, they don't want to
trade in gold. They
want physical gold.
So they bring it
inside. Why don't
they want people to use
paper? Because trading in
paper obscures the
real power, let's say, the
real desire to
own an actual gold ingot
. So if
people are trading it,
this obscures the true nature of what
gold is. Just like all
the speculation about
oil prices that moves
based on news and
not actual reality, the
actual reality is that
long-term oil demand is
actually declining
. Therefore, looking at the
actual delivery stakes that people have
will be much more revealing
. So when
people bet on the
paper price,
China's expectation is that this obscures the
true value of
owning solid gold
in a world that is about to
realize the truth. Therefore,
we don't care if the
price of gold is falling now.
These are people who
bet against imagination.
This fantasy is about to
disappear because what will
really happen is reliance on
solid, tangible,
physical money. The gold that
I can bite into this
cursed ingot will be the
only thing that matters
. Therefore, they want to
bring as much
gold as possible into China,
and stop
paper trading so that they can
find out the
true cost of gold, and the
true value of
holding that gold ingot
in your hands. The reason they
want to do this
is because they believe that America has
become
entirely financial. We have become
completely dependent on
debt, we are exceeding
our capabilities, and the interest on
our debt has become unbearable
. So they know that they and
the rest of the world will start
moving away from it.
That's true. The number of
foreign debt holders is becoming
increasingly small
with regard to
central banks.
Central banks are dumping
US debt like
crazy. Hence this
strong move by
China and other central banks
to move into
gold. Gold is now the
most widely held reserve currency by
central banks,
not the
US dollar, as was
historically the case. You need to
understand that. Good?
Now, you may disagree with me. You
might understand it, but you
think, "Meh, there's nothing
important." I look at that
and say, "Oh, maybe this is
n't something that's going to happen in the
next year or two or whatever,
but this is a steady movement." In
fact, I am
almost certain that I
extracted the
graph. There is a graph of
China's
debt to the US and it is
decreasing, while
its gold purchases
form an almost vertical line
. Look at this
graph and look
at China's debt. So
until about 2010,
they were taking as much
American debt as possible. Now, it's not as if
China was stupid and has now
become smart. That
meant that China was saying, "
This is where we stand in the
world now." The
US dollar is the system.
So we will play the game,
but over a sufficiently
long period of time,
we will become stronger and stronger
as we build our
manufacturing base. As we become
what they were in
World War
I and
World War II,
we will become that. And now,
as they have become so,
they realize that we
now possess power and influence. We have essentially captured the
rest of the
world in terms of
manufacturing. You can't
make things
unless you come to China.
So, we know that we will continue
to receive
money. Therefore, we will
now begin attacking the
dollar. Literally,
Xi Jinping has begun saying that we
need to start
ignoring the West. And I
quote, read
books about something again if you
think I've lost my mind. And
so, something began to say that we
needed to
ignore the West.
You can literally see that
. This is their manifestation in
ignoring the West. They
say, "Yes, we don't
care about these people
at all anymore." We will begin to
get rid of their debts.
We will do this slowly enough
so as not to destroy our
own property. But if you're not
looking at your screen to see how
catastrophically low
their debt has fallen, that's
insane. Then, starting in
1922 or 1923, I don't know exactly, their
gold purchases began to rise
vertically. This is the step of
someone who says: Okay, I want to
get out of the
dollar system. I want to create a
separate system. And I will use
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Now, let's get back to
our program. All of this takes place
within this
Hamiltonian framework that
we are talking about here. Remember that we are
currently reviewing the
things that
empires do? We have
now reached a stage where it
seems as
though you did all the
hard work at the beginning. I
was disciplined when it came to
money. You have built your
industrial base. You have
prevented the world from entering and exploiting
you. You end up being the one who
wins in the
end. For a long time, the United States
was
that power.
You clear the
industrial bases for everyone, so
they turn to you. But
times get so good
, and you start to get so
rich that you end up
converting everything into
financial assets. This is where
other places
now have opportunities to beat you at your
own game, which is exactly what
China did and started doing
strongly in the 1990s.
Specifically, because
in 1971 we broke our link with
gold. So we completely abandoned
fiscal discipline
, and the
fiscal transformation process began in
1971.
China began emptying our
industrial base from the
1990s until the
first decade of the
21st century.
And now you find yourself in a
world where the top part
of the letter K is very rich,
isn't it?
Huge sums of money accumulate without stopping
. Because if you understand
assets, their value
constantly increases as you
transform everything into
financial assets. Meanwhile, real wages are
constantly declining because you are globalizing
the economy and distributing
wages around the world.
You balance and exploit
arbitrage opportunities to find the cheapest
labor possible.
Empires cannot
resist doing this
. Good? Therefore, you need to
connect these two
issues together. China
understands this game.
China is getting rid of the burden of
US debt.
China has already humiliated us. They have
shattered our pride in
industrial prowess, and now they are
buying gold, gold
, and more gold.
Well, the
gold part of the story will make more
sense as we progress.
So, let's get back to
our man because this is not
just a theory. Let me show
you how things went
with the
British Empire. I apologize to
our viewers in
Great Britain.
Britain used what are
called the Corn Laws,
which are trade restrictions that protect
British farmers and manufacturers. And that worked very well
for them. They have
become the
strongest economy on the planet
. Then in the middle of the
nineteenth century, they said, "We've
come a long way.
Let's open up to
free trade.
" They abolished those corn laws, essentially tariffs.
So what happened during the
following several decades?
Britain's share of
global manufacturing has collapsed. Other countries,
you Americans,
Germany, where I came from,
all started
producing it. By
1931, Britain’s industrial base had
completely disappeared. Therefore, the
entire cycle from peak to
decline took 85 years.
Now, here's the part
that should catch your
attention. The
United States began its
own version of
decline in 1971.
When Nixon removed
the dollar from the
gold standard, once
the dollar was no longer backed by anything
physical, neither gold
nor tangible assets,
something changed. The economy has shifted
from manufacturing things to the
financialization of things. What does that
mean? This means that Wall
Street has figured out how to
take real things,
such as mortgages,
car loans, and
student debt, and bundle them and
sell them as financial products.
They call that securitization.
The economy began to look
richer on paper.
But deep down,
the capacity for
actual production was eroding. This is what
affected
ordinary people. Since 2000,
the cost of things
made abroad,
such as your television, your phone, and
your children's toys, has fallen
dramatically. But the cost of
things that cannot be
imported, and that must be
manufactured or supplied
within America, has gone up
insanely, hasn't it?
Hospital services
have increased by 280%.
University fees
have increased by 200%.
Childcare costs have increased
by 150%. Yes,
your television has become cheaper, but
the things that
actually determine whether you will have a
decent life,
such as healthcare,
education, and
childcare, have become more expensive. I won't
go into too much detail on this,
but understand that he is either ignoring
or failing to grasp the complexity of something that
happened there. A large part
of this reason is the
same thing that Drew
always tries to explain about
America’s
economic system, which is
government intervention in the system.
So, 47% of our budget
goes to
social services, yet
people feel they are not
receiving
social services. The reason for
this is things like
healthcare, which
we handle stupidly because
the government simply tells us:
"Yes, we will
take care of this." "We
will pay for this
for you." And so
costs rise insanely because you
ultimately do not get
competitive, due to the lack of
demand that drives prices
down. So, what he just
went through has a
more complicated reason, and
I would say it's because of
America's tendency towards
socialism in a
stupid way. The government guarantees
many things. That's
very stupid.
And so we end up
breaking the competitiveness of
the market. Anyway, oh my
God, I won't go into
complicated details. End of story
. Okay, let's get back
to our topic.
When a country stops
manufacturing and starts
trading
securities. And now, and this
is the most important part, the
US government
essentially declared: "We're going back to the
Hamilton approach, you
know, the guy with the
musical."
Treasury Secretary Scott
Bisent published an article in the
Wall Street Journal
outlining five principles of what he
called the
new American art of governance.
First,
economic security begins with
national capacity, which
means we need to
rebuild factories.
Secondly, openness must be
met with
reciprocity. So if you impose
tariffs on
our goods, we will impose
tariffs on your goods.
Third, the
United States dictates the rules of the
future economy.
Fourth,
financial leadership, the dollar,
treasury bonds, and
stablecoins are the
new weapons.
Fifth, these principles must serve the
American people, not
just Wall Street. You may not agree
with these policies. This does
n't really matter. It will affect your
finances. So, the United States is
officially backing away from 50
years of globalization.
This changes everything regarding how
you invest. This leads us
to what I call the
impossible triangle. It's what connects
everything. This is something
most people overlook. The
US government
wants three things right now
. I've put it
on the screen here for you.
First, rebuild
American factories,
re-industrialize, bring
production home, and create
jobs. Secondly,
protecting the
local economy (the
average citizen). That is, to keep
prices from rising
insanely. As you know,
because inflation crushes those with
low incomes. Third
, maintaining the strength of the
dollar. But there is a
problem. You can choose
only two. Think about
it. If tariffs are imposed
on
imports to rebuild
factories, prices will rise
. This harms the
average citizen. If
you keep the dollar strong,
US exports will become more expensive.
This makes rebuilding
factories difficult.
If you weaken the dollar
to help factories.
Imports become more expensive.
This harms the
local economy. It harms the
average citizen. Therefore, no matter how much
you try to coordinate
them,
one of these
three things must be sacrificed.
This is where the story of gold and
what China is doing becomes
extremely important. Imagine
that graph, if you
were looking at it; China is
getting rid of our debts, and
is buying physical gold like
crazy as an acknowledgment of
the fact that we are in that
triangle, and China knows
exactly which one of the
three we will give up.
Felix is about to give
the answer, so I'll let him
drop the gist. But
when you present this
conclusion, think about that
graph. It
will be the dollar.
Why? Because the dollar does not
have the right to vote. So, they are
deliberately weakening the dollar. Who
benefits most from a weak
dollar?
Well, it's gold. Because
gold is the
only major asset that
does not represent a liability for
anyone. It is not controlled by any
government. It cannot be printed. It
cannot be frozen. He
cannot be sanctioned.
Well, these are just
lies. First, we have
imposed sanctions, and I doubt he
means that they are lies,
but sanctions can be imposed
on them and have already been imposed
. Part of the reason
China is trying to
push its citizens to buy
gold is also because,
incidentally, it is similar to the
S&P 500 index. The
S&P 500 index in
the United States is
a huge repository
for people who say,
"I want to invest in the
stock market." I don't want to have to
think about what it is
. Therefore, I will
only invest in the S&P 500 and I
will trust those in charge
to know who to
exclude and who to include
. Therefore, it is usually the
biggest place where
people invest their
money. China has
something very similar. For the first
time ever, or
certainly for a very long time
. Their
gold ETF actually contains a
larger family fortune, meaning
that small
individual investors are investing
more in the gold fund than
in the
overall Chinese market. So
there is a major shift in
China regarding
where they put their money.
China wants
people to start buying
physical gold. They are building a much
larger facility
to store gold. The reason
I believe is partly why
they do this is because
they know that gold is passing
through a chokepoint, and
they can close it at any
time. I think it was
Roosevelt. Forgive me if I made a
mistake in the quote
, but Ryan will look into this for us
. May
God bless him. There was a
president in the 1930s, I
think, who said, "
Guys, you can't
own gold anymore
." You must sell it
to the government. Don't worry,
we will buy it from you at a
fair price. They made
gold possession illegal,
bought it from everyone, and then
changed its price. Thus,
they effectively, not just
theoretically,
devalued the dollar relative to
gold. Now, most
people don't understand this,
so they haven't noticed, and it
will take time for
this effect to seep
through the system before
people really feel the
inflation. But China
knows it has that
option. So I'm
very surprised. Felix,
who by the way is
fantastic. You should
definitely subscribe to
his channel. I have watched a
lot of his content. But
this point is
simply incorrect. Sanctions can be imposed
on it and have
been imposed on it previously.
People will resort to it
when they feel the time is
right. So, this is one of
those things related to
self-possession. Once again,
read about the
Rothschild family. Literally, in
times of crisis, they would
bury their belongings in
their yards. It's
crazy, but it's true. I don't
advise you to do that now
because people understand how
this game is run. But
yes, if you do not
physically control the gold, don't think that the
government cannot
take it from you. They can
. In any case, all of
this is part of that step
, this triangle. China
knows that of the
three, we will
devalue the dollar because it is the one thing
people don't understand. It
was Franklin
Roosevelt. Executive Order 6102 was issued
in 1933,
setting a fixed price
of $20.67 per ounce
and making private hoarding of gold
illegal.
Yes. So, our man
Roosevelt gets a
lot of
positive media coverage
from the
democratic socialists. I'll just say
that.
Because of this step in
particular.
Because of this and other things.
Listen, I haven't delved deeply
enough into this subject
to take a firm stance. But
a number of
credible economists have said that
if the "New Deal" had not been implemented, we would have
emerged
from the Great Depression
years earlier.
Hmm.
In any case, I haven't delved
into the matter, so I'll
just say it's something
people say without me being
able to prove it.
Yellow Knight made a
good comment in the chat,
saying that China's
gold purchases are not directed towards the
American economy,
but rather towards what
happened with Russia, because that
was when we imposed
sanctions on Russia and
banned it from the
SWIFT network. So, we stole
all their money. You cannot
access your money,
you cannot trade,
you cannot enter the stock market
, we have completely isolated them and they
also had
Treasury bonds. They were
also investors, although
not to the same extent as
other countries. So, this made
China realize, wait a
minute, at any moment
America could press
that button. Therefore, we must
break free from their control
. like. That's an
incredibly good point
. It is
1000 percent true. But
I think it would be a
mistake to think that
China did this from a
position of "Oh my God, we are
scared" rather than from a position of
strength. We will make the yuan the
world's reserve currency. The
only way we can
do that is by backing it with
gold. Therefore, my reading of
the situation is that you are both
right. This is
100% part of the story.
But I don't think it's the motivating factor
. It may have
raised some
questions about "why
now," but I think it
comes down more to
China being in a very strong position
lately.
Gold becomes cheaper when
the value of the dollar falls.
At the same time,
China is doing something very important
. Four of
China's largest banks have announced they will
shut down precious metals trading services for
individuals. Therefore, they are
stopping the trading of
paper gold.
You can still buy
real gold. China does not
want its citizens
to trade gold via an app
as if it were a stock. They
want people to buy
real, physical gold.
So, they are retreating from the
crazy world of paper
towards physical things.
Why would they do that?
Because paper gold
and physical gold are two
completely different things.
Paper gold is a kind of
promise, isn't it?
Banks make money from
it. And it doesn't seem that
anyone else is doing that.
Physical gold is an asset
in itself. And when
trust in the system collapses
, which always happens
eventually.
Promises are worthless
. And look at the United States
.
Look at the amount of gold,
physical gold, that
leaves the United States
. Starting in
late 2025, it reached its
highest level ever recorded
. Gold is
physically moving out of
financial vaults and
other paper systems, into the
hands of governments that
plan to hold it for
decades. So what does
this mean for you? Well
, this means that
dollar-denominated assets,
savings accounts,
bonds, and even your
stock portfolio are facing
headwinds here. Not because of a
recession, not because of a
collapse, but because of the
deliberate policy of
the United States
to weaken the dollar. At
least that's my opinion. Here is the
main view.
Let's put all of that together and
put it on the screen for
you. Central banks are
not buying gold because they
believe it will rise
next month. She is
buying it because she knows from
centuries of history that
empires have
restructured their economies, and
that is what is happening now.
The currency must take a hit.
Every central bank that is
stockpiling gold right now is
essentially betting
that the dollar will be worth
less in 10 years than it is
today.
Good. So, in short,
the idea I want you to
grasp is that
you decide what you will do
yourselves; The
US government, through Scott Besent, has clearly stated
that this is a "
Hamiltonian" approach to getting back to
how we grow our economy
again. To achieve this,
you must reverse some of the
actions that have
brought us to where we are
now. Therefore, you will return to
being a
manufacturing power instead of
relying entirely on
finance and
cheap imports to get
things done. To do that, you
will have to impose
tariffs. You must
prevent others from bringing
goods inside.
China will be the
most important in this
regard. Therefore, you will impose
very harsh tariffs on China.
Do you know what the matter is? That's
exactly what's happening now.
Trump has been telling you
exactly what we're going to do for a very long time
. But he did not
use the term "Hamilton
" only. Now,
Bessent says, "Great. We'll do
it. We'll impose
tariffs. We'll block
those goods from entering." Then we will have to
start
allocating resources
to the industries we want to
see return, because
part of this is not just about
making them viable here
in the country, but also
ensuring that these
manufacturers are able to export
to other countries. A
large part of the
global economy is located outside the United States
. We do not
want to put ourselves in an
isolationist position. We want to be
able to sell to
the rest of the world. Now
we will direct
dollars towards a
specific industry to try to get out
of this situation. The
crazy part is that this is where I
start to worry; If
we try to outdo
China in its approach,
we will have a tough time.
This is one of the things I'm directing to you,
Drew. I am
very interested in speaking with
Steve Caine about this
issue, as he believes that
China is dominating the competition. I
believe he does not share my
absolute fear of the
authoritarian side of China.
For me, trying to
outdo China in
its own way means ignoring the
essence, especially when we realize
that Alexander Hamilton
built this system and
explained how it works.
This man was part of the
group that put in place all the
checks and balances
to ensure that we could
achieve this without
giving in to the
human tendency to try to
monopolize power
and control, and then
take over everything,
which is exactly what we saw
happen in China. So,
for me, saying that we
will play the game
like China would be a mistake.
Seeing how China added
to its methods what
Alexander Hamilton did.
Now, we must
do this in a
distinctly American way: where we don't
abandon our republic, we do
n't turn into an
authoritarian regime, and we don't give in to
the idea of "Well, it's
more efficient to have
one person telling
everyone what the
hell they should do." We don't
want to find ourselves
in that situation. But we
need to understand that
America will begin to dismantle
this situation. The way they
will achieve this
is by weakening the dollar.
Do with this information
as you please. No one will know what the
right timing is
because it all depends on
how the world reacts.
Ultimately,
economics is about
psychology. It's all fake.
It's all fake. I know
people will be
furious at this statement. But it's
all fake. That's
why you can manipulate
the price of gold on paper,
because everything is fake, damn it
. Therefore, all of this
will depend on
people's psychology and how they
respond. Therefore, no
one will be able to
determine the right timing for
you. But the direction of the path is
clear, by our own admission.
We will do everything we can to resume
manufacturing. So,
we will do what we need to
do to remanufacture. We just
previewed what that would look like
. It will require us to
weaken the
dollar. We have seen the
United States
weaken the dollar by
huge leaps before with
Roosevelt when he withdrew
everyone’s gold and then repriced it
, which is equivalent to
massively inflating the dollar. And then
, well, now
you can buy gold
again. So we know that
this kind of thing
happens and will happen. We see
China saying, "Okay,
we'll get rid of
American debt. We'll go for
physical gold," either
because they look at it
and say, "Okay, you're
weakening the dollar." "Or
because they saw us freeze
assets in Russia, so
we don't want to play that
game, or most likely
both reasons." But I
think the other thing you should
consider is that they
know how to play
the game well. That this
was part of the
strategy from the
beginning. They said when you
are weak, be
quiet, and keep your head
down. They did
exactly that. The
stronger you become, the more you start to
assert yourself, and the
more powerful you become, the more you
disregard others.
We've seen it all, and you can
literally see it from my vantage point
in their divestment from their
dollar debt,
which, if I'm not
mistaken, they've sold in the
last 36 hours
alone, an unbelievable hundreds of billions of
dollars of US debt
. So when you look
only at the math,
the data of what they sell
versus what they buy,
it means someone who doesn't
believe that the
smart way to make money in
the future is to rely
on the dollar. This is someone who
believes that the
right reserve asset to
hold,
the thing that will be
most valuable in
the future, is
actual physical gold, and that you
should encourage people
to buy that gold
away from
paper speculation and to
hold the
physical thing. This means that the
bet they are making is
that holding
physical gold will be the
most valuable thing in the
future. When is
this actually true?
This is true in a
society with low trust. I
think we can
all agree that the world is
falling apart. There are many
conflicts. That's for
sure. When the
dollar loses its value over
time and does not gain momentum.
When you look at what the
United States is trying to do, it is
likely that they
will have to devalue the
dollar. So, when
you put all of that together,
it makes a big difference to
all of us as investors. So
, again, the way I
think is to
increase caution. I have started
to rebalance my
investment portfolio. I am not
withdrawing from the stock market under any
circumstances. And again, you must
assume that
I am stupid and that I do not
know how to translate this
into money. Therefore, you must
make these decisions
yourself. Man, I have enough worries
in my
own life. I want to
make sure that you do too
. So, when I look
at this, I say to
myself, OK, I'm
rebalancing my portfolio.
Because the stocks performed so
well,
my portfolio became
more aggressive over time. So now I would
say, for
where I think we are
headed, the
amount I am allocating to
stocks alone is probably too much
. So I started to
reap some of my
big profits, and they were
huge profits. And so
you begin to rebalance
based on that. I am
doing some things,
but I haven't started buying
actual gold because I am
too scared of the question of
where I can
actually store it. I have no evidence
for the
following claim, but I have no
proof of it. So,
do what you will with my
feelings, but the fact remains that we do
not conduct a
public audit of gold. We are only
relying on what is in Fort
Knox, and we are relying on
mere promises from Besant, and
I really hate that.
Therefore, I am not convinced
that we actually possess the gold
. I am not convinced
that the
US government, given
its history, is the
right party to safeguard my gold.
So now I have to find a
solution. But this becomes
more attractive. I haven't made a
final decision yet,
but I've started to consider
it. So, it's
like: Okay, I won't
get a return on
gold, but it might protect me
while we continue to
devalue the dollar.
Again, you really need to
think about this yourself.
But if you want to know
why I keep repeating this
, why
I think it's important, and why I
spend time talking about it
, it's because it's a
fundamental pillar. If everything I just
put forward is true, then
you have the path that
things will literally take when it comes to
money and the economy
. Now, I don't know if
this will
take a year, or
five, or ten, or
twenty years, I don't know.
But this really does look like the
path of the future. So,
unless something stops him, and
by the way, we are at
war. Therefore, we would like
to see the dollar weaken
more and more, and debt
weaken more and more. Therefore, we have
every reason to
want the
dollar to weaken. Trump has been talking
about lowering
interest rates for ages. In
any case, this
seems important. This
means something. I
really recommend you look into this.
By all means, get rid
of my conclusions if
you wish. But I will not get rid
of my analysis. You need to
find out if you think I'm
wrong about any of
those steps. Define it
precisely, analyze it from the
first principles, and
then certainly do what
you see fit.
Again, the
final conclusion I've reached is that it's
extremely high risk what you're
doing with your money. You will want to
make your own decision
about that. But the analysis is
based on cause
and effect. So, let's
review that. If you
believe it's true, that's
great. Draw your
own conclusions.
If you think it is
wrong, try to identify the
part that you see as
wrong. Enter the command
that you believe is correct.
First, I would like to hear that.
But just make sure you have a
chain of
cause and effect,
because times change.
If you're going ahead
as if everything will stay the same
forever, I'm really afraid you'll be caught off guard
in something where you could have been a little
more varied.
Be a little more strategic
in protecting yourself
from risks. There is no need to
sell everything and buy a
lot of gold. That's
not what I would do. And it's certainly not what I
think any intelligent person would
do. In any case,
this episode is important. Pay
close attention.
If you enjoyed this
conversation, watch this
episode to find out more.
Steve Cain is an
economist. He actually started as a
tennis player who could have
become a
professional. He is also
very left-leaning, i.e., a
Marxist. He loves Marx.
So,
Marxist viewpoints, think.